1. General Report

This report and accompanying resources have been developed to demonstrate the feasibility and relevance of dynamic micro-simulation in the context of developing countries. Advanced and freely available programming tools and improvements in the availability and quality of micro-data have helped make dynamic micro-simulation available at a reasonable cost. At the core of this report is the portable model DYNAMIS-POP which can be applied to most developing countries. The model produces detailed population projections including educational attainment and school attendance, first marriage, transmission of ethnicity, and a detailed model for infant mortality accounting for mother’s characteristics. The model can be used as is or adapted and extended to meet specific needs. DYNAMIS-POP has an intuitive graphical user interface and runs on a standard personal computer. Its code and statistical analysis files are available to model builders and are documented in a step-by-step way. Materials can be use as a textbook and toolbox for micro-simulation model development and implementation.

Keywords: Micro-simulation, Population Projection, Development

Contents:

• 1.1. Acknowledgments
• 1.2. Abstract
• 1.3. Introduction
• 1.4. The Dynamic Micro-simulation Approach for Population Projection (and Beyond)
• 1.5. Philosophy and Design Goals of DYNAMIS-POP
• 1.6. Data Requirements
• 1.7. Modules
• 1.8. Model Output
• 1.9. Using the Model
• 1.10. Statistical Measures, Concepts, and Methods Common in Micro-simulation
• 1.11. Implementation
• 1.12. Adapting the Model to a new Country
• 1.13. References